Tuesday, May 20, 2008
What The Media Has Missed - Hillary Leads Obama 264 to 224
Good evening folks,
This is not related to country music, but then again, there's been a few folks in country music who did dabble in politics, but that's another story.
We've had a life-long fascination with our country's political process. We grew up watching those old political conventions, sitting up for hours on end, watching the roll calls of the votes by each state to select their party's nominee for President. We enjoyed the speeches, the drama early on in our life. We were idealistic.
But then we got older, wiser, cynical, not only of the parties, but the media as well.
This year's Democratic primaries are a story like we've never seen. So many angles, so many issues. Take the Michigan / Florida fiasco. It seems to me that since politicians caused the problem - then penalize the politicians - take away any super-delegates from those states. But don't punish the people and take away their 'vote' and 'voice' in the process. What a mess that is.
But one angle not being looked at by the media in the results to date is an interesting one. Take each state that Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama have won. Apply the number of electoral college votes for those states. Add them up. See who's ahead.
Surprise. Clinton leads Obama 264 to 224 and could wrap it up even without Michigan and Florida. The Democrats have a quandary this year. Will the campaign end gracefully?
Here is the math to date (after the May 20 primaries in Kentucky and Oregon):
Democratic Primary Results By Electoral College Votes
The Super Delegates concept is a bad idea - this year because the race is so close, it ends up looking like a smoke-filled back room political hack decision. It's taken out of the people's hands. The Super Delegates concept needs to be tossed.
And how much money are we as a country wasting on this process? Wouldn't that money be better spent on something that matters? Have we become a government that is of the money, by the money and for the money?
Enough said. Let's get back to the music.
This is not related to country music, but then again, there's been a few folks in country music who did dabble in politics, but that's another story.
We've had a life-long fascination with our country's political process. We grew up watching those old political conventions, sitting up for hours on end, watching the roll calls of the votes by each state to select their party's nominee for President. We enjoyed the speeches, the drama early on in our life. We were idealistic.
But then we got older, wiser, cynical, not only of the parties, but the media as well.
This year's Democratic primaries are a story like we've never seen. So many angles, so many issues. Take the Michigan / Florida fiasco. It seems to me that since politicians caused the problem - then penalize the politicians - take away any super-delegates from those states. But don't punish the people and take away their 'vote' and 'voice' in the process. What a mess that is.
But one angle not being looked at by the media in the results to date is an interesting one. Take each state that Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama have won. Apply the number of electoral college votes for those states. Add them up. See who's ahead.
Surprise. Clinton leads Obama 264 to 224 and could wrap it up even without Michigan and Florida. The Democrats have a quandary this year. Will the campaign end gracefully?
Here is the math to date (after the May 20 primaries in Kentucky and Oregon):
Democratic Primary Results By Electoral College Votes
State | TTL | HRC | BHO |
| Alabama | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| Alaska | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Arizona | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| Arkansas | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| California | 55 | 55 | 0 |
| Colorado | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| Connecticut | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Delaware | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| D.C | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Florida | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| Hawaii | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Idaho | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Illinois | 21 | 0 | 21 |
| Indiana | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| Iowa | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Kansas | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Kentucky | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| Louisiana | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| Maine | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Maryland | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| Massachusetts | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| Michigan | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| Minnesota | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| Mississippi | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Missouri | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| Montana | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nebraska | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Nevada | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| New Hampshire | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| New Jersey | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| New Mexico | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| New York | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| North Carolina | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| North Dakota | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Ohio | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| Oklahoma | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| Oregon | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Pennsylvania | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| South Carolina | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| South Dakota | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Tennessee | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| Texas | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| Utah | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Vermont | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Virginia | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| Washington | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| West Virginia | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Wisconsin | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| Wyoming | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 538 | 264 | 224 | |
| Total Electoral College Votes 538 | |||
| Needed To Win: 270 | |||
The Super Delegates concept is a bad idea - this year because the race is so close, it ends up looking like a smoke-filled back room political hack decision. It's taken out of the people's hands. The Super Delegates concept needs to be tossed.
And how much money are we as a country wasting on this process? Wouldn't that money be better spent on something that matters? Have we become a government that is of the money, by the money and for the money?
Enough said. Let's get back to the music.